Seasonal Weather Ahead; Unsettled Pattern Developing

We’ll see a reprieve from the cold snap across Southern Manitoba over the next few days as temperatures return to more seasonal values, however with that comes the development of a more unsettled pattern that will bring multiple chances for rain or snow to the region over the next week.

Wednesday

6°C / -1°C
Warming up with a few clouds.
Thursday

7°C / -1°C
Mostly cloudy.
Friday

6°C / -2°C
Light snow changing to rain likely.

We’ll see a comparatively beautiful day today with temperatures climbing up to around 6°C under a mix of sun and cloud. The warmer temperatures are thanks to a breakdown of the high-amplitude jet stream that has been in place over North America over the past week and a bit. As the pattern flattens out, it will allow warmer air to push back into Southern Manitoba, which in turn allows us to enjoy non-freezing temperatures. The milder temperatures will stay with us through the remainder of the week.

Thursday (Halloween!) will bring cloudier weather as a weak front aloft begins moving into the area. Temperatures will climb up to around 7°C by the afternoon, making it the warmest day we’ll see this week. Cloudy skies will persist through the night as we drop to around –1°C. Things look to stay nice and dry for the trick or treaters!

Precipitation accumulation expected through the day on Friday, courtesy the NAM.
Precipitation accumulation expected through the day on Friday, courtesy the NAM.

Friday has a good chance of bringing us some light snow or rain. There’s good agreement that a disturbance will slide down from the northwest on Thursday night, pushing into the Red River Valley through the morning hours on Friday. Precipitation may begin as light snow, but should switch over to rain by midday at the latest. No significant amounts are expected; models are only producing a 2–5 mm water-equivalent of precipitation, so it will be relatively light activity. The precipitation looks to move in fairly early in the morning and will last through much of the day before tapering off around supper time or shortly thereafter. We’ll see a high of around 4 or 5°C and an overnight low of around –2°C.

The Weekend Ahead

Cloudy skies will persist through much of the weekend as a more unsettled pattern develops. Daytime highs look to stick around the low single-digits and overnight lows dropping to a couple degrees below zero. The next chance for precipitation looks to push in on Sunday night through Monday as a system pushes through the region bringing snow to the Interlake and possibly areas further south as well. More on that later in the week.

Brad

Brad lives in Winnipeg with his wife and two children and is the founder of A Weather Moment. He has loved weather from a very young age and has followed that passion through his life so far. He received a B.Sc. in Earth Sciences with Specialization in Atmospheric Sciences and is currently employed in the field of meteorology. You can find the author as WeatherInThePeg on Mastodon.

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