A Graceful Return to Form

A quiet week is ahead weather-wise as an upper-level ridge over the region dominates the weather for the remainder of the week. No precipitation is anticipated for the rest of the work week while temperatures slowly climb to above-normal values.

19°C / 4°C

20°C / 9°C

24°C / 12°C
Partly cloudy

The next few days will be mainly sunny with just a few more clouds working in on Friday. No rain is expected. Daytime highs will start near 19°C today and climb to 24°C by Friday. Overnight lows will remain chilly tonight with lows just near 4°C, but then push towards above-normal of 9–12°C.

Long-Range Outlook

Overall, the weekend is looking quite nice. Temperatures will be in the low-to-mid 20’s with overnight lows in the upper single digits. Some showers or thunderstorms will be possible along a weak cold front draped across the province – likely north of Winnipeg through the Interlake – but at this point anywhere along or south of the Trans-Canada Highway looks fairly dry.

Heading into the start of next week, though, some models are hinting at the possibility of another – albeit weaker – Colorado Low impacting southern Manitoba. The GDPS[1] is forecasting a very rainy Monday with elevated convecting drenching Southern Manitoba with over an inch of rain. The NAEFS[2] takes a more middle ground approach and pushes a weaker system a bit further east, with our region being grazed and getting something in the 5–10mm range. The GFS[3] produces the weakest solution with an even weaker low pushed even further east with little-to-no impact on Southern Manitoba.

It’s too early to say too much about that system other than we’ll be sure to keep an eye on it as we head into the weekend. There are numerous factors which make it look not nearly as bad as the storm we had over the long weekend, so even though it may be the 3rd Colorado Low in 2 weeks, it may not be a significant issue for the region.

  1. Global Deterministic Prediction System – The Canadian long-range forecast model.  ↩
  2. North American Ensemble Forecast System  ↩
  3. Global Forecast System – The United States long-term forecast model.  ↩


Brad lives in Winnipeg with his wife and two children and is the founder of A Weather Moment. He has loved weather from a very young age and has followed that passion through his life so far. He received a B.Sc. in Earth Sciences with Specialization in Atmospheric Sciences and is currently employed in the field of meteorology.

You can find the author as @WeatherInThePeg on Twitter.