Warm Monday, But Cold Front Looms

Today will be seasonably warm across southern Manitoba, but that is about to change. A looming cold front will bring cooler conditions by Tuesday.

Warm weather is expected today across southern Manitoba
Warm weather is expected today across southern Manitoba

This Week

Today will be the warmest day of the week in southern Manitoba. Mainly sunny skies and light westerly winds will allow temperatures to climb into the mid teens. Given that the normal high is only about 10C this time of year, today is well-above seasonal values. Unfortunately, that is about to change as a strong cold front pushes through southern Manitoba by Tuesday morning.

Tuesday will be significantly cooler than Monday as a rush of chilly arctic air descends from the north behind a cold front. High temperatures will only reach the mid to upper single digits. Skies will be a mixture of sun and cloud with breezy west winds of 20-30 km/h.

Wednesday will remain cool, as temperatures remain stuck in the mid single digits. Skies will be mainly cloudy with a slight chance of a shower or flurry. Winds will be breezy from the northwest at 20-30 km/h.

Long Range

The signal for the rest of the week’s weather is not particularly strong. Model guidance does hint at the potential for slight warm-up as we move into the weekend, but this is not completely certain. In general, high temperatures are expected to hover near the normal high for this time of year of 9-10°C. Longer range guidance shows higher probabilities of warmer than normal conditions are we move toward month’s end.


Scott grew up in Steinbach, Manitoba and joined A Weather Moment in January of 2012. Prior to his involvement with AWM he operated a website called Steinbach Weather, from 2007 until 2011. Steinbach Weather had many similarities to AWM, making for a smooth transition to his new meteorological home. Scott currently writes the Monday morning at AWM and also contributes to some of the unique products available at AWM, including the Manitoba Mesonet. Scott holds a B.Sc. (Hons) in Physical Geography from the University of Manitoba, with specialization in Atmospheric Science. He is currently working on a Master's Degree at the University of Manitoba, with a focus on elevated convection.

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