Author: Brad

Brad lives in Winnipeg with his wife and two children and is the founder of A Weather Moment. He has loved weather from a very young age and has followed that passion through his life so far. He received a B.Sc. in Earth Sciences with Specialization in Atmospheric Sciences and is currently employed in the field of meteorology. You can find the author as WeatherInThePeg on Mastodon.

Pleasant and Warm

Brad Leave a comment

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, more of the same is ahead for the rest of the week with daytime highs near 0°C.

Wednesday

Mainly sunny.
-2°C / -12°C
Thursday

A mix of sun and cloud
0°C / -7°C
Friday

Mainly sunny.
1°C / -5°C

We’ll see temperatures climb a degree or two each day through the rest of the week as the sun continues to slowly chip away at the cooler air over the province. The normal daytime high for this time of year is around 3–4°C, so we’ll still remain a little below normal over the next few days. We’ll see some cloud move in tonight, which should help keep the overnight lows from dropping too much. Skies will clear out on Thursday with sunny skies being dominant through the rest of the week. Overnight lows should actually end up moderating a bit as some warmer air pushes in aloft.

This benign weather pattern looks to continue for at least another 7–10 days with no significant weather systems expected to move through Southern Manitoba. This slowly warming, dry weather is good news in light of the most recent flood forecast which has been upgraded to a risk of moderate to major flooding in the Red River Valley.

More of the Same

Brad Leave a comment

We’ll slowly warm up this week, but no spectacular weather is in store.

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Surface temperatures and pressures on Monday (College of Dupage – NAM model)

Monday through Wednesday

Monday
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Clearing
-3°C / -14°C
Tuesday
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Mainly sunny
-4°C / -14°C
Wednesday
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Mainly sunny
-3°C / -12°C

Monday will be another carbon-copy of what we’ve seen a lot of lately. Temperatures will be in the mid minus single digits in most areas, with the exception of forested areas and areas within the cities, where temperatures will be a good five or so degrees warmer than that. There will be a chance of flurries during the morning into the early afternoon before we clear out by later in the day. Tuesday will again be almost identical to Monday – except sunnier – so no further elaboration is needed about that.

Wednesday should see temperatures come up a bit more, with highs in the low to mid minus single digits in most areas. Like Monday and Tuesday, forested and city areas will be a bit warmer than the open prairie, with values around or just above freezing.

Long Range

The long range is neither good nor bad. It looks like we should warm up even more later this week, with more widespread freezing or above freezing temperatures expected. However, further out in the long range models show more cold air dropping south into Southern Manitoba around next weekend, with no more substantial warm-ups currently in the forecast.

Benign Weather Continues

Brad Leave a comment

We’ll continue to chip away at the cold air and push towards seasonal temperatures over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure anchored over the province slowly weakens.

Friday

Mainly sunny. Increasing cloud overnight.
-7°C to -3°C / -14°C
Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud.
-3°C / -12°C
Sunday

Becoming sunnier than cloudy.
-3°C / -13°C

We’ll see mainly sunny skies today as temperatures climb from anywhere to -7°C on the northwest side of the city to closer to about -3°C downtown. Some cloud will start pushing into the Red River Valley from the east tonight which will limit our overnight low to only around -14°C instead of dropping back into the -20’s again. Saturday will see more cloud than sun with temperatures climbing to around -3°C and dropping to slightly below -10°C Saturday night. The clouds will start to break up on Sunday; we’ll likely see more sun than cloud through the late morning and afternoon period as the temperature climbs up to around -4°C yet again.

Long Range

Current indications for the next week or so are that not much will change; no large systems are in our forecast which will certainly be a help to the flooding situation. Days just below zero combined with the strong March sun and no additional precipitation are excellent for helping with the potential flood situation by melting the existing snowpack at a gradual pace.

Sunny & Climbing Towards Seasonal

Brad Leave a comment

Winnipeg & the Red River Valley will spend the rest of the week struggling back towards seasonal temperatures as an abnormal mid-March blast of cold, Arctic air has left us significantly below our normal temperature of around 0°C.

Wednesday

Mainly sunny.
-10°C / -21°C
Thursday

Mainly sunny.
-7°C / -16°C
Friday

Mainly sunny.
-5°C / -10°C

Very little is expected to change over our region through the next three days. The low that brought the blizzard to Southern Manitoba at the beginning of this week has stalled out over Ontario and while another low will be deepening in Alberta, everything will be somewhat “stuck” and we’ll remain under the ridge of high pressure between the two systems. With little motion and us sitting right under a ridge, winds will remain light and very little temperature advection will be occurring aloft. The upside to this situation is that we’ll see plenty of sun through the remainder of the week, and since that sun is now a late-March sun, it will be able to slowly work at warming up that big mass of air stuck over us. Thanks to this, temperatures will slowly rise through the week back towards more seasonal temperatures. While it may not be as warm as we’d like, you can at least get out there and enjoy the sunshine, light winds, and feel that sun working!

The Weekend

At this point, the weekend looks fairly benign: temperatures will climb close to 0°C for daytime highs and there’s a chance we’ll see some light snow on Saturday or Sunday. At this point, no significant storm system is expected, but we’ll keep our eyes peeled! Hopefully we’ll be able to close the book on this winter very soon.