More Warm Weather On The Way

Temperatures will soar well above seasonal values in Winnipeg as a flood of mild Pacific air washes over the southern Prairies.

A warm front pushing eastwards across the Red River Valley this morning will bring above-seasonal temperatures back to Winnipeg today. To start the day, Winnipeg may see a few flurries as the warm front pushes into the region. Once the front leaves, Winnipeg will see mixed skies with light southerly winds. Temperatures will climb to around -10°C by lunch and then inch towards a high of -8°C in the afternoon. Skies will cloud back over tonight as another warm front pushes into the region. This front will bring a chance of some light snow – and a risk of freezing rain – to the region late overnight into early Thursday morning. Temperatures will continue to rise overnight to around -2°C by morning.

Thursday will bring mainly cloudy skies to Winnipeg and the Red River Valley as a mild Pacific air mass spreads over the region. Temperatures will continue to climb to a high near 0°C with southwesterly winds of 20 to 30 km/h. Thursday night will bring mixed skies with a low near -5°C.

Temperatures will climb to near- or above-freezing across much of southern Manitoba on Thursday
Temperatures will climb to near- or above-freezing across much of southern Manitoba on Thursday

On Friday, the region should see plenty more cloud as temperatures once again climb to around 0°C. A low pressure system moving through the Interlake will bring southwesterly winds of 20 to 30 km/h to the Red River Valley on Friday afternoon. Winds will shift northwesterly on Friday night as temperatures dip to a low near -5°C.

Long Range Outlook

Temperatures will remain mild this weekend with daytime highs in mid-minus single digits. Sunday and Monday may bring a chance for some light snow as a larger low pressure system develops and moves through the region. Slightly above-seasonal temperatures will continue into the middle of next week with variable cloudiness.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently -13°C while the seasonal overnight low is -23°C.

Weather Turning More Unsettled

After a stretch of relatively benign weather, things will be getting slightly more active in Winnipeg through the remainder of the week.

Kicking off the trend towards unsettled weather, Winnipeg will see a mild but potentially messy day today. The culprit for our weather will be a low pressure system tracking through the Interlake today. It brings with it the chance for light precipitation through much of the day, but what exactly falls from the sky will vary as the day moves on. There will be a slight chance of rain or freezing rain showers, [freezing] drizzle, and/or flurries in Winnipeg today. The overall amounts of precipitation will remain low, but it will be a generally damp day. Temperatures will climb to a high near +1°C with winds picking up to northwest 30 gusting 50 km/h this afternoon. Any leftover flurries will clear out this evening. Winds will ease overnight with a few clear patches developing as temperatures head to a low near -11°C.

Freezing rain is possible over the Red River Valley early this morning.
Freezing rain is possible over the Red River Valley early this morning.

A ridge of high pressure move over the region on Thursday. Winnipeg will see mixed skies, light winds, rand a high near -6°C. Clouds will thicken up on Thursday night as temperatures head to a low near -10°C.

On Friday, the city will see southerly winds of 30 to 40 km/h develop ahead of an Alberta Clipper tracking across Saskatchewan. Skies will stay cloudy through the day as temperatures head to a high near -5°C. Some light snow will likely push into the Red River Valley in the evening with accumulations near 5 cm possible by Saturday morning. Temperatures will keep steady near -4°C on Friday night as winds slowly ease.

A broad area of snow will develop across Manitoba on Friday night.
A broad area of snow will develop across Manitoba on Friday night.

Long Range Outlook

Winnipeg may see more snow on Saturday as the clipper system slows, blocked to the east by a major winter storm on the east coast. Temperatures will head back towards seasonal for Christmas with variable cloudiness. One thing to keep an eye on will be a second clipper system that is forecast to track through SE Saskatchewan into North Dakota on Christmas Eve. If its track ends up just a tad further north, then it may impact travel conditions in the Red River Valley for Christmas Eve.

Overall, though, the forecast continues to be relatively pleasant for December.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently -11°C while the seasonal overnight low is -21°C.

Seasonal Temperatures Return to Winnipeg for A Couple Days

Cloudy conditions return to Winnipeg as temperatures finally climb back towards seasonal values for a couple days.

Seasonal temperatures will finally return to Winnipeg today as warmer air spreads eastwards across southern Manitoba. The city will see temperatures climb to a high near 0°C with southerly winds near 30 km/h. Some sunshine may appear through the morning hours, but the cloud cover should thicken up this afternoon. Skies will remain mixed to mostly cloudy overnight with temperatures dipping to a low near -4°C.

Thursday will be a slightly more active day as an upper-level disturbance ripples southeastwards through the province. As it moves into the region in the morning, it will spread light snow with a risk of freezing rain across the Red River Valley. Temperatures will be climbing towards a high near 0°C, so if freezing rain materializes there may be a few hours in the morning where untreated surfaces become quite slippery. The risk for freezing rain should end by lunchtime as cooler air begins pushing in from the north. Light snow will continue through much of the afternoon, then taper off in the evening. This band of precipitation will likely leave behind 2 to 4 cm of snow in its wake.

Where exactly this activity moves through is uncertain, though. Forecast models have been varying the position of the band of snow from Winnipeg to as far south as North Dakota. The general consensus at this point is that most of the precipitation will likely pass south of Winnipeg, closer to the American border. This outcome would leave Winnipeg with just mostly cloudy skies for the day.

A narrow band of snow and/or freezing rain will move through Manitoba on Thursday, likely passing south of Winnipeg either through the southern Red River Valley or across northern North Dakota.
A narrow band of snow and/or freezing rain will move through Manitoba on Thursday, likely passing south of Winnipeg either through the southern Red River Valley or across northern North Dakota.

Winds will start off calm in the morning and slowly pick up out of the northwest to around 20 km/h. Expect a mostly cloudy night with a continued chance of flurries and a low near -9°C.

Friday will bring much cooler temperatures back to the region as an Arctic air mass plunges southwards behind Thursday’s system. Winnipeg’s temperature will barely recover, reaching just -6°C. Winds will persist out of the northwest at 20 to 30 km/h and skies will remain mostly cloudy. There will be a continued chance for flurries through the day. Temperatures will head to a cold overnight low near -15°C on Friday night with mixed skies.

Long Range Outlook

Generally dry conditions are forecast through the weekend into the first half of next week, but temperatures will remain well below seasonal values. Some indications are that temperatures may moderate in the middle of next week, but the jury is still out on how believable that optimism may be.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently -1°C while the seasonal overnight low is -9°C.

Mild Weather Arrives in Winnipeg

Winnipeg will finally get prolonged relief from the bitter cold as significantly warmer temperatures will be in place for the next 5-7 days.

Winnipeg will likely see the “best all-around” day of the next week today, as clear skies combine with relatively light west-southwest winds of 15-25 km/h and a high near -2°C to make for simply gorgeous January conditions. Cloud over tonight with a good chance for a bit of light snow to move through but no accumulations are expected. Temperatures will dip to a low near -11°C.

Thursday will bring slightly cooler temperatures to Winnipeg with a daytime high near -4°C and light southerly winds. Skies will remain mostly cloudy for the day, so it’ll end up a bit of a sloppier, dreary day particularly when compared to Wednesday’s bright sunny skies. The cloud will thicken up on Thursday night as a low pressure system races eastwards out of northern Alberta. Temperatures will actually rise to around -1°C by Friday morning as that Alberta low pushes warmer air into the region overnight.

Significantly milder air will spread across southern Manitoba on Thursday night

Friday morning may bring a complication to the morning commute: the potential for freezing rain. As the low pressure system passes through the Interlake, it is expected to develop an area of showers over the Red River Valley.1 The biggest uncertainty is when exactly the showers move in, as temperatures should climb above 0°C by mid-morning. With the day starting near -1°C, it’s likely that treated roads won’t have too much trouble if the rain begins before it climbs above freezing, but extra caution should be taken on side streets and bridges.

The forecast sounding for Friday morning shows moisture streaming in above a prominent above-freezing layer with sub-freezing surface temperatures

The chance of showers should taper off by afternoon, and temperatures will climb to a high near +2°C with winds out of the west-southwest at 10 to 20 km/h. Friday night may bring a bit of clearing as temperatures head to a low near -8°C.

Long Range Outlook

The weekend will continue to bring above-seasonal temperatures, but not quite as significantly as during the week. Daytime highs of -5 to -8°C are expected on Saturday and Sunday with overnight lows both nights near -13°C. Plenty of cloud will remain in place for the weekend. Fortunately, winds will remain light so all in all it should be easy to get outside and enjoy some winter activities!

Temperatures are then expected to return to near-seasonal values next week with daytime highs in the -10 to -15°C range and overnight lows approaching -20°C.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently -13°C while the seasonal overnight low is -23°C.

  1. At this point, it looks like the showers will develop along the upper-level jet that will run from southeastern Montana northeastwards into the Red River Valley then arc straight eastwards into Ontario, roughly aligning along the cold front, across the triple point, and down the warm front associated with the Interlake low.