Tag: Windy

Chance of Snow as Colorado Low Lifts North, Then a Gradual Warm-Up Begins

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The Winnipeg area will see a chance of light snow today as a Colorado Low lifts into northwest Ontario. Once it passes, the region will move into a gradual warming trend towards Spring weather.

RPDS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 00Z Wednesday March 27, 2024
A Colorado Low lifting northwards into Ontario will support driving northerly winds across southern Manitoba today.

It will be a cool day in Winnipeg today with daytime highs barely reaching the seasonal overnight low for this time of year. Northerly winds up to 40 gusting 60 km/h will drive this cooler air southwards through the day, limiting Winnipeg’s high to around -7 °C. This will be accompanied by cloudy skies and a chance for light snow; a Colorado Low lifting through NW Ontario will spread light snow into eastern Manitoba, but this far west it will struggle against drier air undercutting it. We’ll likely see flakes through the day, but accumulations should be minimal.

A ridge of high pressure will continue to push colder air into the region on Tuesday night, but cloud cover will moderate the overnight low. Those northerly winds will gradually ease overnight as temperatures head to a low in the -15 to -10 °C range.

Skies will stay cloudy on Wednesday as the low departs NW Ontario and the surface ridge moves in. Temperatures will rebound to a high near -5 °C with northerly winds of 30 gusting 50 km/h easing later in the day. Skies should clear out on Wednesday night with temperatures dropping into the -20 to -15 °C range as the ridge of high pressure moves in.

The region will see sunny skies on Thursday as warmer temperatures slowly move back into the region on the backside of the departing high. Winnipeg should see a high in the -5 to 0 °C range on Thursday afternoon and a low near -10 °C on Thursday night.

Long Range Outlook

The end of the week and the weekend will start with a chance of light snow as the stagnant pattern over the region breaks down and a disturbance crosses the southern Prairies. Daytime highs will creep above freezing, though, and in Winnipeg little accumulation is likely. Sunshine should return to the region on Sunday with a high in the 0 to +5 °C range.

Heading into next week, a couple disturbances will slump through Manitoba as a broader push of warm air occurs. This will bring a slight chance of snow or rain, depending on its timing, in the first half of the week. Daytime highs will climb into the 5 to 10 °C range and stay there while overnight lows vary from -10 to 0 °C.

A low pressure system crossing the Prairies mid-week could even bring daytime highs in the 10 to 15 °C range! The warmth will melt the snow left in the city and, combined with the strengthening sun, will likely shift the region into steadier Spring weather.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is +3 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -8 °C.

Friday Rain Gives Way to Cooler Weekend Weather

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A low pressure system crossing the province will bring rain to Winnipeg today, but its cold front will usher in cooler weather for the weekend.

RDPS Precipitation Type and Rate Forecast valid 21Z Friday March 15, 2024
A wintery mix will spread southwards through Manitoba today.

As we mentioned on Tuesday, a low pressure system will drop through Manitoba today, spreading a large area of precipitation across the region. An area of snow mixed with rain will spread southeastwards out of central Manitoba this morning, gradually transitioning to mainly rain as temperatures warm through the day. In Winnipeg, precipitation will begin midday; with temperatures near 0 °C, it will likely start as snow, but as temperatures climb towards a high near 5 °C in the afternoon, it will change over to rain quickly. Periods of rain will be likely through the afternoon with westerly winds up to 40 gusting 60 km/h.

In the evening, a cold front will sweep through the region and usher in northwesterly winds up to 40 gusting 60 km/h. The front will bring an end to the rain, replacing it with a chance of flurries that will last through the night and into Saturday morning. Temperatures will head to a low near -5 °C.

For the weekend, the weather will be shaped by a large Arctic high that will slowly slump into the province. This will result in a gradual break-up of the cloud cover in the region as a cooler air mass pushes into the region. Daytime highs will slump into the -5 to 0 °C range on Saturday and near -5 °C on Sunday. Overnight lows will dip down into the minus teens both nights. Winds will be breezy through the weekend with northwest winds of 30 to 40 km/h on Saturday easing into the 20 to 30 km/h range on Sunday.

Long Range Outlook

Another disturbance will pass through the region on Monday and bring another push of warmer air. Daytime highs should climb back up close to +5 °C on Monday with moderate southerly winds.

Behind this system, an upper trough is forecast to dig into the Prairies; this will bring cooler temperatures for the rest of next week with daytime highs falling below 0 °C. Much of the week will be dry, but there could be accumulating snow across southern Manitoba mid-week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -1 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -11 °C.

Seasonal Temperatures on Friday Give Way to a Warm Weekend

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Winnipeg will end the work week with near-seasonal temperatures, but more warmth is on the way for the weekend.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday February 24, 2024
A low pressure system crossing the southern Arctic into Hudson Bay will drag another wave of mild air into southern Manitoba this weekend.

An Arctic high slumping through southern Manitoba will bring near-seasonal temperatures to the region with daytime highs comfortably in the -10 to -5 °C range. Skies will be sunny with light winds that begin to pick up out of the south in the evening.

A strong low pressure system will begin tracking eastwards through the southern Arctic today, and by tonight it will start dragging a warm front across southern Manitoba. Temperatures will dip to a low near -10 °C tonight, then climb into the -5 to 0 °C range by Saturday morning as the warm air pushes into the Red River Valley.

Saturday will bring partly cloudy skies to the region with highs jumping up into the mid-single digits. Breezy southerly winds will shift westerly through the day, hovering in the 20 to 30 km/h range. A weak cold front will slump through the region on Saturday evening. Temperatures will dip to a low in the -10 to -5 °C range overnight.

A ridge of high pressure will cross the region on Sunday, bringing light winds and a high near freezing. Skies will again be partly cloudy but otherwise there will be little weather to talk about to end the weekend.

On Sunday night, a potent Alberta Clipper is forecast to begin ejecting eastwards across the Prairies; it will bring much warmer air surging northwards into the Prairies ahead of it as it tracks towards Manitoba overnight. This warmer air pushing into the region will keep overnight lows mild in the -5 to 0 °C range with cloud building in as moderate southeast winds pick up.

Long Range Outlook

Monday’s weather in Winnipeg will be dependent on the exact track of the Alberta clipper. If it tracks more southerly, then the city will see cloudy skies and likely morning snow as the warm front slides through and evening snow as the system’s cold front slams through. In this case, a daytime high near 5 °C wouldn’t be unreasonable.

If, against the odds, the system tracks more northerly, then Winnipeg may escape the morning snow and see temperatures soar into the upper single digits as southwest winds mix mild Pacific air to the surface. Either way, a potent cold front will slam through in the evening and bring strong northwest winds and plummeting temperatures.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 12Z Monday February 26, 2024
A potent Alberta Clipper will cross the Prairies on Monday, bringing more mild weather to the south while bitterly cold temperatures push into the north.

A huge Arctic high will slump into the region behind the clipper, sending temperatures plummeting rapidly. Temperatures will likely drop into the -20 to -15 °C range on Monday night, barely recover on Tuesday, and then drop into the mid-minus 20s on Tuesday night.

This clipper will likely bring a swath of 10 to 20 cm of snow across the central Prairies, but along the Trans-Canada Highway corridor and areas south, there’s more uncertainty with amounts and whether the precipitation will be rain or snow.

The cold snap will be short lived after this system as the upper pattern continues to favour progressive systems. Wednesday will bring below-seasonal highs to the region for another day, then a warmup begins heading towards the weekend!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -6 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -17 °C.

Light Snow Leads to Brief Cold Snap

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A disturbance passing through southern Manitoba later today will bring light snow followed by moderate northwest winds. Colder air will slump into the region behind it for the end of the work week, but temperatures will rebound quickly through the weekend.

RDPS 24hr. Snowfall Forecast (10:1 SLR) valid 12Z Wednesday February 14, 2024
A low pressure system will leave a swath of fresh snow across southern Manitoba on Tuesday.

Winnipeg will sit under mainly cloudy skies today with southerly winds picking up to around 30 km/h ahead of a low pressure system moving in from the west. Temperatures will be mild with highs near -4 °C this afternoon. Light snow will move across southwest Manitoba today and reach Winnipeg by mid- to late-afternoon.

The snow will continue eastwards through the evening, tapering off to flurries overnight with around 2–3 cm of fresh snow left behind. Temperatures will dip to lows in the -10 to -5 °C range across the Red River Valley tonight.

It will be pleasant on Wednesday with highs again near -5 °C and westerly winds in the 20 to 30 km/h range. With that warmth will come more cloudy skies, though. A cold front will sweep through the region later Wednesday, bringing breezy northwest winds and cooling temperatures. Skies will likely clear out on Wednesday night, letting temperatures drop to a low in the mid-minus teens.

Thursday will finally bring sunshine to the region with northwest winds of 20 to 30 km/h and a high in the -15 to -10 °C range. Unfortunately, those winds will make it feel like it’s in the -20s. An Arctic high will continue to slump southwards through the Prairies through Thursday night; as it drops south, the winds will ease in southern Manitoba and temperatures will head to a low likely near -25 °C.

Long Range Outlook

Southern Manitoba will be under the grip of the Arctic high on Friday. The region will see plenty of sunshine with highs that struggle to climb into the -20 to -15 °C range.

The axis of coldest air will then shift off to the east for the weekend. Temperatures will return to near-seasonal values with breezy westerly winds on Saturday. The near-seasonal temperatures should persist into next week, then likely be followed with another surge of Pacific air that will send temperatures back towards freezing.

Fortunately, it looks like the region should see plenty of sun this weekend which will be a welcome change from the copious amounts of cloud cover the region has seen over the last while!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -9 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -19 °C.