Fairly pleasant weather will be on tap for next couple days until an upper trough swings through the area on Sunday, bringing a risk of showers or thunderstorms to the Red River Valley.
Through the next couple days, mainly sunny skies and warm temperatures will be the dominant weather across the Red River Valley. High temperatures today and tomorrow will climb up to around 29°C, while sunny skies dominate today and we move into more of a mix of sun and cloud tomorrow.
On Sunday, an upper trough begins to work it’s way into Southern Manitoba. It’s very difficult to say what exactly is going to happen with this system as it moves through. It seems clear that there will be two main areas of precipitation:
- An area of rain that moves through the Interlake.
- An area of showers and/or thunderstorms that develops over North Dakota and slides southeastwards.
As for what happens over the Red River Valley; it’s tough to say. Guidance currently suggests that there’s a moderate chance of rain for us. Should we see precipitation, it’s likely that we’d see a batch of morning showers then a little bit of sunshine before some afternoon convection bubbles up over the Red River Valley. There would be a risk of non-severe thunderstorms if that scenario happens. This system seems to be quite sensitive, so we’ll be sure to post updates in the comments below. The daytime high on Sunday will end up being somewhere between 24°C to 27°C depending on how much sun or rain we see.
Sunny skies return to start next week before another system brings a chance of rain mid-week.
