Quiet Weather Ahead

Aside from a couple chances of some scattered showers, fairly seasonal weather lies ahead for the Red River Valley through the second half of the week.


13°C / 2°C
Increasing cloud in the morning. Tiny chance of scattered showers late in the day.

9°C / -1°C
A mix of sun and cloud.

10°C / 0°C
A mix of sun and cloud; chance of afternoon/evening showers.

We’ll see a fairly pleasant day today with temperatures climbing just above seasonal to around 13°C with light winds. Some cloudiness will push in through the day as a cold front pushes towards the Red River Valley. There will be a slight chance of scattered showers along the cold front; any that do develop will be fairly weak and quick-moving. The chance for any one location to see a shower is fairly low, so expect a rather hit or miss pattern if any showers manage to develop along the front. Winds will shift to the NW behind the cold front with partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will drop to around –1°C overnight.

Thursday will be a quiet day with light westerly winds and a high around 9–10°C. We’ll see a mix of sun and cloud and fairly uneventful weather. The overnight low on Thursday night will drop to around –2°C.

On Friday, we’ll see a mix of sun and cloud with a chance of afternoon or evening showers as a second disturbance slumps southwards through the interlake drawing another push of cold air with it. The chance for any precipitation looks significantly better than it does for today, but if we do see shower activity total rainfall amounts anywhere in the Red River Valley only be a couple mm at most. Cooler air will continue to filter southwards through the night with enough instability building to likely produce some lake-effect showers or drizzle in the lee of the lakes. While it will depend very much on the exact wind direction, at this point it looks like Winnipeg may see some of the lake-effect activity since winds are expected to be roughly from the NNW (~ 20°), which would bring cloud and any precipitation from the south basin of Lake Winnipeg into the city. We’ll keep an eye on that as we get closer to the event.

The Weekend Ahead

A fairly benign weekend seems to be in store with little notable weather occurring. Highs look to be slightly cooler than normal in the 7–9°C range with afternoon clouds. No precipitation is expected at this time. Also of note is that now that we’ve passed the Thanksgiving long weekend, frost will no longer be mentioned in Environment Canada forecasts for the Prairies. If you haven’t seen frost yet, consider yourself lucky.

So all in all we have some typical fall weather ahead. Enjoy!


Brad lives in Winnipeg with his wife and two children and is the founder of A Weather Moment. He has loved weather from a very young age and has followed that passion through his life so far. He received a B.Sc. in Earth Sciences with Specialization in Atmospheric Sciences and is currently employed in the field of meteorology. You can find the author as WeatherInThePeg on Mastodon.

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