Can’t Keep The Heat Down For Long

A cold front that passed through yesterday will try to cool things off in Winnipeg, but the heat won’t be kept down for long with well above-normal temperatures bouncing back into the region for the weekend.

A cooler air mass will be in place over Winnipeg today, ushered in by a series of cold fronts which passed through the region on Thursday. Today’s high temperatures will sit around 6°C across Winnipeg & the Red River Valley under sunny skies. While this is 7°C cooler than yesterday and 12°C cooler than Wednesday’s high of 18.8°C, a high of 6°C is still well above the seasonal average high of 0°C.

The wind will begin to pick up out of the south this afternoon, first to 20-30 km/h and then strengthen to 30-40 km/h tonight as a warm front pushes across the Red River Valley. Temperatures will dip to a low near 3°C.

Saturday will bring milder air back to Southern Manitoba. With the warm front off to our east, mainly sunny skies, and light winds, the high of 12 or 13°C will feel quite pleasant. Temperatures will drop to a low near 4°C on Saturday night.

The heat continues on Saturday with temperatures forecast to be over 10°C above normal.
The heat continues on Saturday with temperatures forecast to be over 10°C above normal.

Sunday will bring mixed skies as a cold front sweeps through midday. Temperatures will reach a high near 11 or 12°C before the front comes through, and then the winds will pick up out of the northwest to 20-30 km/h. It doesn’t appear that the passage of the front will bring any rain to the region, but a very light sprinkle can’t be ruled out.

Temperatures will drop to a low near 0-1°C on Sunday night.

Long Range

It appears that the unseasonably warm and dry weather will continue for quite a while yet, with most outlooks showing no sign of significant abatement until next weekend. The biggest sign of change looks to be a system expected to track into our region on Friday November 18th. Models diverge on the general outcome of this system, with two primary possibilities:

  1. A quick-moving system that slides through over 12-18 hours and produces 10-20 mm of rain over Southern Manitoba.
  2. A significantly slower outcome: a potent Colorado Low that could potentially produce a blizzard over Southern Manitoba.

It’s still very early to speculate much on this, but the one thing that looks fairly certain is that, no matter which solution, it will mark a shift in the overall weather pattern that will bring temperatures (generally) back towards seasonal values.

Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 0°C while the seasonal overnight low is -8°C.


Brad lives in Winnipeg with his wife and two children and is the founder of A Weather Moment. He has loved weather from a very young age and has followed that passion through his life so far. He received a B.Sc. in Earth Sciences with Specialization in Atmospheric Sciences and is currently employed in the field of meteorology. You can find the author as WeatherInThePeg on Mastodon.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *