Mild Weather Returns to Winnipeg

A return to spring weather has arrived for Southern Manitoba with temperatures returning to seasonal to above-seasonal values for the remainder of the week. Plenty of clouds will be in place today, but sunnier skies will move in for Thursday and Friday, making for a great end to the work week.

Wednesday
8°C / -3°C
Mainly cloudy

Thursday
10°C / -2°C
A few clouds; chance of showers

Friday
10°C / -2°C
Mainly sunny

Today will be a fairly cloudy day thanks to a low pressure system moving through the Northern Plains of the United States. While the precipitation associated with the system will remain south of the border, a fair amount of cloud will push into our region making for a bit of a dreary day. Fortunately, temperatures will return to seasonal values with a high today near 8°C. Clouds will clear out overnight with the temperature dropping to around –3°C.

GPDS 6hr. QPF – Valid 00Z Friday April 10, 2015
A weak disturbance slumping southwards into the Red River Valley will bring a slight chance of showers to Winnipeg on Thursday.

Thursday and Friday will both be mainly sunny days with highs near 10°C and lows near –2°C. Little in the way of weather is expected on Friday, however tomorrow a weak disturbance slumping southeastwards will push into the Red River Valley and bring just a slight chance of showers late in the day to Winnipeg.

A Look At The Weekend

This weekend looks quite nice for Southern Manitoba with daytime highs in the teens and plenty of sunshine. Winds look fairly calm through the weekend, although they may end up breezy out of the south sometime Sunday for a few hours as a tough line approaches. As the trough moves through, we may see some shower activity on Sunday afternoon.

All in all a fairly nice weekend with a welcome return to warmer temperatures.

Unseasonably Cool Weekend Ahead

Unseasonably cool temperatures will be seen across all of Manitoba through the duration of the Easter long weekend thanks to an Arctic air mass that was ushered into the region behind a potent cold front that brought intense snow showers and strong winds yesterday. In addition to the cooler temperatures, the s-word will likely be seen in many regions along and south of the Trans-Canada corridor over the next couple days.

Friday
-1°C / -9°C
Flurries beginning midday
Saturday
-3°C / -12°C
Morning snow likely, then clearing
Sunday
-2°C / -10°C
Mainly sunny & cool

A clear and cold start to the day in Winnipeg will see more cloud move into the area through the morning as a weak disturbance slides through the region. Flurries will move into the Red River Valley midday and linger into the evening. Winds will be light and daytime highs will climb to around -1°C. A chance for flurries will persist overnight as another weak disturbance begins approaching from Saskatchewan. Temperatures will dip to around -9°C tonight.

RDPS 24hr. QPF  – Valid 12Z April 4, 2015
Precipitation totals forecast by the RDPS from Friday morning through Saturday morning.

As the next disturbance ripples through tomorrow morning, it will push an area of snow through the province. Amounts from this band will be around 1cm and will be centered from the Parkland region southeastwards into the southwestern Red River Valley. Winnipeg will be on the northern edge of the system and will likely see some snow through the morning hours. Once the disturbance moves past, clearing will begin pushing into the Red River Valley. Daytime highs will be a bit cooler than today at around -3°C or so with winds out of the north at 20km/h. Saturday night will bring mainly clear skies and a low near -12°C.

Sunday will be another cool, but mainly sunny, day. For areas near the U.S. border, the story will be different as a low pressure system moving through the States pushes a band of flurries through the region Saturday night into Sunday morning. Highs will be around -2°C on Sunday with lows down to -10°C on Sunday night.

Long Range

Next week is looking like a return to form; daytime highs are expected to rebound to a seasonal 6°C by mid-week at the latest when a chance for showers returns as another low pressure system moves through Manitoba. Before then, we’ll see plenty of sunshine making for fairly pleasant days despite the slightly cooler-than-normal temperatures.

Wednesday? Beautiful, No Foolin’! Thursday? Not So Much…

Some of the warmest weather so far this year will move into the region today, drawn eastwards by a fairly strong spring storm moving through the Central Prairies. The warmth is not meant to last, though, as a strong cold front pushes through and brings below-normal temperatures for the remainder of the week.

Wednesday
16°C / 2°C
Windy with sunny breaks this afternoon

Thursday
⇓ -2°C / -12°C
Cloudy & windy; chance of showers or flurries

Friday
0°C / -8°C
Mainly sunny & cool

Today will be quite a warm day thanks to very mild air over our region; 925mb temperatures are expected to climb to around 9°C, which should translate to daytime highs near 15 or 16°C once we sunshine this afternoon. Speaking of sunshine, while today is starting off cloudy, we should the cloud cover break up this afternoon as the dry slot associated with the Central Prairie low moves across Southern Manitoba. Alongside the sunshine and clearing will be fairly gusty westerly winds to 30–40km/h with gusts as high as 60km/h. The winds will taper off in the evening as we head to an overnight low of around +2°C.

RPDS 3hr. QPF & MSLP valid Thursday, April 2, 2015
The RPDS shows an area of light precipitation moving through the Red River Valley on Thursday with a relatively tight pressure gradient that will produce gusty northerly winds.

Thursday will be a significantly less pleasant day as a cold front pushes through Southern Manitoba, bringing with it cooler temperatures, gusty northerly winds and a fairly good chance for some shower or flurry activity. Temperatures in Winnipeg will slide through the morning, settling near –1 or –2°C for much of the afternoon as gusty northerly winds to around 40km/h tap cooler air from the north. The best chance for any shower or flurry activity would be through the morning & early afternoon. Skies will clear out Thursday evening as we head to a low near –12°C.

Friday will be a benign weather day for Winnipeg & the Red River Valley, but temperatures will be well below normal. Daytime highs will only be around +1 or +2°C through the Red River Valley, which is a few degrees below normal for this time of year. Fortunately, winds will be light and with that increasingly strong April sun shining, it won’t feel so bad. Expect temperatures to drop to around –8°C on Friday night with partly cloudy skies.

Quiet Weekend Ahead

The weekend is looking fairly quiet for Winnipeg with seasonal to slightly below-seasonal temperatures and a few clouds. A ridge of high pressure building in from the Arctic looks to keep most disturbances to the south of Winnipeg, however with the main frontal zone setting up near the U.S. border and a few shortwaves rippling along, areas along the U.S. border in Southern Manitoba may see a few showers or flurries through the weekend. Nothing significant is expected.

NAEFS 8-14 Day Temperature Anomaly Outlook (issued 12Z March 31, 2015)
The NAEFS 8-14 day temperature anomaly forecast show above-seasonal warmth returning to Manitoba.

In the longer range, it looks fairly likely that we’ll see a return to above normal temperatures through the second week of April as the storm track shifts back further north; while above normal temperatures will return, it looks like much of the warm weather will be associated with weather disturbances, making it likely that we’ll see more of a “roller coaster” temperature pattern than a prolonged period of warm, dry weather. Only time will tell, though! For now, expect a few cool days and then a stretch of near-seasonal temperatures.

Warmer Weather Returns for the Weekend

The brief cool-down in the wake of a relatively short-lived, but potent storm will come to an end this weekend thanks to another low pressure system moving across the Prairies that will bring a warm front across the province over the next couple days.

Friday
-1°C / -7°C
Mainly cloudy with a chance of flurries

Saturday
7°C / 1°C
Increasingly cloudy & windy

Sunday
7°C / -2°C
Clearing & windy

Today will see cloud moving in through the morning as a weak disturbance moves into western Manitoba. While this system will bring 2–4cm of snow west of the Red River Valley, here in Winnipeg we’ll see just a slight chance of a light flurry or two. Further west in the Red River Valley – near Portage la Prairie S/SE down towards Morden & Winkler – will likely see a bit of light snow today, but no significant accumulations from it. Winds will be around 20km/h or so out of the south and Winnipeg will see a high temperature near –1°C. Skies will clear this evening as temperatures head to a low near –7°C.

Saturday will be a warm but windy day as a warm front moves into the Red River Valley. Temperatures will climb to an above-normal[1] 7°C under increasingly cloudy skies. Winds will pick up fairly early in the day and strengthen out of the south to 40–50km/h.

Saturday Night
1°C
Rain overnight

A low pressure system will track through Manitoba on Saturday night. The biggest impact from this storm will be felt in Central and Northern Manitoba where up to 10cm of snow may fall. Further south, we’ll see an area of rain move across the region beginning early Saturday evening and tapering off sometime mid-overnight.

Generally speaking, somewhere between 2–5mm of rain is likely to fall. Winds will taper off in the evening as the Red River Valley moves into the trough of this system, and then pick up again out of the northwest once the low passes. The wind will likely strengthen to around 40km/h by Sunday morning.

GDPS 12hr. QPF valid 12Z Sunday March 29, 2015
12hr. accumulated precipitation amounts forecasted by the GDPS for Saturday night.

Sunday will see clearing skies and a high once again near 7°C. Winds will remain strong out of the northwest at 40–50km/h into the early afternoon before tapering off.

Long Range

The long-range forecast looks quite nice through the first half of next week. Both Monday & Tuesday look to bring fairly sunny skies and highs somewhere in the 5–10°C range. Things take a bit of a turn mid-week when a low pressure system is forecast to move across the Prairies and potentially bring another snow event to the Red River Valley.


  1. Normal daytime highs for this time of year in Winnipeg are near +3°C.  ↩