Tag: Benign Weather

Gradual Spring Melt Continues

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Pleasant spring temperatures and variable cloudiness will continue to aid in a gradual spring melt across the region.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Friday April 1, 2022
West-southwest winds will usher warmer spring temperatures into the Red River Valley.

The week will end with a beautiful day in the Winnipeg area. Breezy southwest winds will help highs climb up close to 10 °C this afternoon under mainly sunny skies. Westerly winds will continue for much of the night near 20 km/h. Temperatures will dip below freezing as a passing cold front ushers in more cloud early Saturday morning.

Behind the front, temperatures will be a bit cooler and skies cloudier. The high in Winnipeg will cool to just above the freezing mark on Saturday as northwest winds taper off late in the day. Much of the cloud cover will stick around Saturday night. The low dips into the -5 to -10 °C range.

Sunday will continue cloudier, but temperatures will moderate back towards seasonal values with a high near 5 °C. Temperatures will dip just below freezing on Sunday night, moderated by milder air moving in for Monday.

Throughout the next few days, dew point values will stay below freezing and continue to aid the gradual snowmelt across the region. Combined with a lack of precipitation, this is helping to ease the flood risk across the region.

Long Range Outlook

The weather pattern will turn a bit more unsettled next week as several disturbances cross through the province. This pattern change will bring warmer weather more consistently to the region with daytime highs closer to 10 °C through the week. Rain is possible on a few days next week, but there is still too much disagreement between weather models to suggest any certainty.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 5 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -6 °C.

Spring Melt Continues in Southern Manitoba

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Daytime highs will continue to hover above freezing across southern Manitoba, continuing the gradual spring melt across the region.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday March 19, 2022
Daytime highs will climb a few degrees above freezing over the Prairie snowpack the next few days, and into the teens over the snow-free terrain of the southwestern Prairies.

Winnipeg will see several days of benign weather ahead. Temperatures will climb above freezing each day with lows dipping back below 0 °C. Dew points will stay below freezing, which will help ensure a more gradual snow melt across the region. The continued spring melt will produce variable cloudiness over the next few days with a continued chance for morning fog patches. Wind-wise, breezy southerlies will give way to lither westerlies later today, followed by lighter winds gradually shifting easterly through the weekend.

Long Range Outlook

The next disturbance to impact the area will move through later Monday into Tuesday. An upper trough will move into central North America, producing an area of rain extending from the Gulf Coast northwards into the central American Plains. That rain will be sheared northwards along a deformation zone into a secondary shortwave tracking through the Prairies. This will bring rain/snow mix to southern Manitoba; depending on the speed of the system, it could result in notable rainfall through the Red River Valley.

Otherwise, the forecast is much of the same. Daytime highs continuing to sit above freezing with a refreeze overnight. Dew points below freezing should moderate the rate of snow melt, helping with the flooding risk. Enjoy the gradual return to spring!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 0 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -10 °C.

Cool Mid-Week, Otherwise Comparatively Mild

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Although temperatures will sit below seasonal normals over the coming days, the warming March sun and relief from the bitterly cold temperatures of January and February will make it feel comparatively pleasant outside.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Tuesday March 1, 2022
With the coldest temperatures bottled back up in northern Manitoba, the stronger March sunshine will make it feel comparatively pleasant over southern regions.

It will be a beautiful day in the Red River Valley today with plenty of sunshine, light winds, and a high near -10 °C. A cold front will slump southwards tonight, bringing some cloud and another batch of light snow to the region. A couple centimetres of snow are possible overnight, followed by clearing skies for Wednesday morning.

Temperatures will be a bit cooler mid-week behind the cold front. Both Wednesday and Thursday will bring highs in the -10 to -15 °C range, but Wednesday night will be cold with lows approaching -30 °C. Lows will moderate towards -20 °C on Thursday evening as more cloud cover moves into the region ahead of a push of warmer air.

Winnipeg and area will see cloudier skies for the end of the week and the weekend. Highs will warm into the -5 to -10 °C range with overnight lows in the mid-minus teens. A bit of snow is possible over the weekend, with anywhere from 2–5 cm falling in a couple waves as disturbances pass to the north and south.

Long Range Outlook

Conditions look more settled next week with highs in the -5 to -10 °C range and lows in the -15 to -20 °C range. The region will see variable cloudiness and, although cool, it will continue to feel better and better as the sun gains strength.

Prolonged periods of cool(-ish) conditions and sunshine in March will help alleviate some of the flooding risk the region faces given substantial snow pack over the region. The strengthening sun can sublimate water out of the snow on ground, reducing it’s overall load and easing meltwater quantities. This may be a helpful couple weeks when it comes to the flood risk the region faces.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -5 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -15 °C.

Arctic Grip Finally Loosens in Southern Manitoba

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Temperatures will finally ease back towards seasonal values in southern Manitoba, bringing an end to the latest round of bitterly cold temperatures.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday February 26, 2022
Southern Manitoba will finally see relief from the cold on Saturday with the return of seasonal temperatures.

The relentless cold is finally coming to an end over southern Manitoba today! The lobe of the polar vortex that has entrenched extremely cold temperatures over the region is finally weakening, cutting off the source of the coldest air in the region.

Warmer air will begin to build into the region today, with Winnipeg’s cold morning warming up to a high in the -10 to -15 °C range. Skies should stay mostly sunny through the day with southerly winds picking up into the 30 km/h range. A warm front will push through tonight, bringing a bit more cloud to the region as winds shift to the west. Tonight’s low in the mid-teens will be warmer than the daytime highs of most days this week.

The weekend will bring more cloud to Winnipeg, but a passing low will bring even warmer weather back to the region on Saturday. Highs will reach around -5 °C with cloudier skies and a chance for some light snow as the low passes in the afternoon. A bit of cooler air will filter into the region behind the low, sending temperatures back towards -20 °C on Saturday night and dropping highs into the mid-minus teens for Sunday. Winds will be breezy out of the

Long Range Outlook

Next week will bring seasonably cool conditions to the region with the occasional chance for snow. Daytime highs will likely hover within a couple degrees of -10 °C with overnight lows in the -15 to -20 °C range.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -6 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -16 °C.