Temperatures Continue Trend Towards Seasonal

Temperatures in Winnipeg will go on a bit of a roller coaster until a more sustained period of seasonal temperatures arrives this weekend.

Winnipeg’s wobbly trend towards seasonal temperatures continues today as temperatures climb to a high near 6°C. The winds will be breezy later this morning out of the northwest at 20 to 30 km/h, but not as bad as yesterday’s southerlies. The city should see mixed skies today. A weak ridge moving into southern Manitoba tonight will ease the winds, clear the skies, and send temperatures to a low near -15°C.

A push of seasonal temperatures will spread into the Red River Valley on Thursday. The region will see southwest winds near 20 km/h in the morning shift northwesterly in the afternoon as a cold front drops through the region. As it often is with warm air, the city will see some cloudy periods as it moves in. Temperatures will be finally reach seasonal values with a high near -1°C. Another high will move through on Thursday night, clearing the skies, easing the winds, and sending temperatures to a low near -14°C.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday November 14, 2019
Temperatures will climb back to seasonal values across southern Manitoba on Thursday.

Friday will bring cooler temperatures back into the region with highs dropping down to around -8°C. The cool-down will be short-lived, though. Southeast winds of 20 to 30 km/h will develop through the day as warmer air already begins approaching through Saskatchewan. Some sun is possible early in the day, but Winnipeg will likely see mostly cloudy skies through much of the day. Those southerly winds will continue through Friday night with temperatures rising to around -3°C by Saturday morning.

Long Range Outlook

A longer stretch of seasonal to slightly above seasonal temperatures will arrive this weekend. Daytime highs will likely hover at or just above freezing right through into the start of next week.

ECMWF Total Accumulated QPF valid 12Z Tuesday November 12 to 00Z Tuesday November 19, 2019
The Red River Valley will remain fairly dry over the coming week as the storm track shifts into the northern Prairies.

The storm track also looks like it will remain to the north of us, keeping any significant precipitation events out of the region.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -1°C while the seasonal overnight low is -9°C.

Seasonal Temperatures Return to Winnipeg

After one more cool day, breezy southerly winds develop and usher seasonal temperatures back into the region.

A ridge of high pressure moving through southern Manitoba today will keep winds light and temperatures cool. In Winnipeg, the high will sit near 5°C. With so much moisture stuck in the region, skies should remain mostly cloudy through the day. A light southeasterly wind will develop tonight with temperatures dipping to a low near 0°C.

A warm front will move across Manitoba on Thursday, bringing breezy southerly winds. Warm air will push eastwards into the region as the wind increases into the 30 to 40 km/h range. Temperatures will climb to a high near 11°C in Winnipeg, continuing to rapidly melt the remaining snowpack. Winnipeg will see a bit of sun through the day as the clouds giving way to mixed skies. On Thursday night, the cloud cover will thicken back up with breezy winds continuing. This combination of cloud and wind will keep temperatures warmer with a low near 6°C in Winnipeg.

Breezy southerly winds will develop over the Red River Valley on Thursday.

On Friday, a broad trough of low pressure will move across the region. With cloudy skies, temperatures will continue at near seasonal values. Winnipeg should see a high near 11°C again with the southerly winds gradually easing. No significant precipitation is expected, but some scattered light rain is possible. Skies will become mixed again on Saturday night as a westerly wind builds into the region behind a weak cold front. Temperatures will dip down to a low near 5°C.

Long Range Outlook

Seasonal conditions will continue into the weekend with highs in the low teens and overnight lows in the low to mid-single digits. The region should see some sun return for Saturday, but another disturbance moving into the region on Sunday will bring more cloud with a chance of light rain, particularly overnight into Monday.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 10°C while the seasonal overnight low is 0°C.

Cleanup Continues With Cool and Cloudy Conditions

Southern Manitoba will continue to see plenty of cloud cover as the region continues to clean up after the historic winter storm last week.

Another low pressure system crossing the Prairies will keep Winnipeg locked under cloudy skies for the next few days. Between the lack of sun and the new snow pack covering the region, temperatures will stay well below seasonal averages. Over the next few days daytime highs will hover near 4°C while low dip to around freezing.

Winds won’t be much of an issue the next while, either. Light southerlies will persist today, switching to northerly on Tuesday as the low passes. Northwest winds of 20 to 30 km/h will develop for Tuesday, but a ridge of high pressure will bring light winds for Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Cooler daytime highs will occur over the fresh snowpack in southern Manitoba and North Dakota.
Cooler daytime highs will occur over the fresh snowpack in southern Manitoba and North Dakota.

The only notable weather will be as the low moves through tonight into Tuesday. A wintery mix of light precipitation will move through the Red River Valley overnight, leaving behind a chance of scattered rain showers or flurries for Tuesday. Accumulations will generally be light with 1 to 3 mm for most areas, but a narrow band of 5 to 10 mm may develop along the low track. The heaviest precipitation will remain south of Winnipeg, but whether it occurs in southern Manitoba versus North Dakota is still questionable.

Long Range Outlook

The sun will attempt to reappear in the latter half of the week as warmer air pushes eastwards across the Prairies. Exactly how warm temperatures are able to climb will depend on how much snow remains on the ground. More snow will mean temperatures stay locked into the low single digits. For any areas that are able to eliminate much of the snow pack, highs could climb into the low teens.

No precipitation is expected through the latter half of the week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 11°C while the seasonal overnight low is 0°C.

Gradually Improving Weather in Winnipeg

The weather will slowly improve in Winnipeg through the rest of the work week.

Winnipeg will see a gradual return towards seasonal conditions despite the prevalence of a large Arctic ridge. Today and Thursday will both bring mostly cloudy skies as the high moves through. Temperatures will be seasonably cool with highs in the upper single digits. Earlier in the week it looked like more rain would be possible for Winnipeg, but latest forecasts have shunted the precipitation southwards. Most of the rain will fall south of the border, but a bit may cross the southern Red River Valley tonight. Winds will stay light the next couple days. 

An Arctic ridge will keep the next batch of rain further south with just a chance that it pushes north of the border.

On Friday, sunshine should return to the region with mixed skies as brisk southerly winds develop. As the wind increases to 30 gusting 50 km/h, temperatures will finally climb into the low teens. The cloud cover will thicken up late in the day with a chance of rain developing again on Friday night.

Long Range Outlook

A trough moving across the region will continue to bring a chance of rain through Saturday, then conditions are forecast to settle for much of next week. After the sun returns for the end of the weekend, it looks like it will stick around for much of next week. Temperatures will return to near-seasonal values with highs in the low to mid-teens.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 14°C while the seasonal overnight low is 3°C.