A highly anomalous November weather pattern will set up through the remainder of the week, bringing an extended stretch of warm and dry weather to the Red River Valley.
Today will be the last cool, cloudy day for the next while, all thanks to a building 500mb ridge that will dominate the weather pattern for at least the next 5-7 days. Before that happens, though, we’ll need to power through a large deck of stratus cloud working across the Prairies. As a result, today will be fairly cloudy, perhaps a few sunny breaks here and there, with temperatures topping out at a slightly above-seasonal 6°C.
There’s a very slight chance of an afternoon/evening rain shower today as a weak impulse moves over the Red River Valley, but if it were to happen, it would be short-lived and not produce any measurable accumulation. Skies will clear overnight as temperatures drop to around 1°C.
Thursday will bring significantly nicer weather as a large upper-level ridge builds into the Prairies:
This will bring more sun to the region as our mostly cloudy skies are replaced by partly cloudy skies both Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will also be well above seasonal with high temperatures in the 12-15°C range. While these are over 10°C above normal, they likely won’t be record-setting, as the record high temperatures are surprisingly warm for the beginning of November:
| Date | Record High | Year Set |
|---|---|---|
| November 2 | 21.7°C | 1903 |
| November 3 | 18.8°C | 2008 |
| November 4 | 20.0°C | 1975 |
Winds will be relatively light both Thursday and Friday at just 10-20 km/h.
Long Range
The long-range forecast is looking quite pleasant overall. Warm temperatures will continue to dominate the weather story throughout the first half of November as the upper-level ridging continues over the Prairies.
There may be dips in the temperature here and there with the occasional passing disturbance, most likely back to slightly above-seasonal values, but the upper-level ridge will rebound and push milder air back into the region. Conditions should remain fairly dry through this period as well.
Winnipeg’s seasonal daytime high is currently 5°C while the seasonal overnight low is -5°C.
