RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Monday November 18, 2019

Pleasant November Weather Ahead

Mild weather continues in Winnipeg with only a brief cool-down in the latter half of the week.

A series of low pressure systems passing through the Prairies will maintain seasonably mild temperatures to start the new work week. Winnipeg will see a mild start to the day with temperatures near freezing climb to a high of +3°C this afternoon. Moderate southerly winds near 30 km/h will ease through the morning, followed by light winds for the afternoon as a trough moves into the Red River Valley. Skies will be mainly cloudy but a few sunny breaks are possible, particularly midday into the early afternoon. The cloud cover will thicken up later in the day with a chance of rain showers through the evening hours.

Skies will stay cloudy overnight with light westerly winds. Winnipeg should see a low near 0°C.

Tuesday will bring cloudy skies to the city with light west-northwest winds as a low spins its way into northeastern Manitoba. There won’t be much going on weather-wise; Winnipeg will see a high near +2°C and cloud. A cold front will push into the region on Tuesday night, keeping skies cloudy and bringing a chance of flurries to the region overnight. Winnipeg will see a low near -4°C.

Cooler air will continue streaming southwards on Wednesday, bringing with it cloudy skies with the chance of flurries. Winds will persist out of the northwest at 20 to 30 km/h while temperatures hover around -4°C. The cloud cover will begin to break up overnight as temperatures head to a low near -10°C.

Long Range Outlook

A cooler air mass will be in place over the region on Wednesday, bringing high temperatures in -5 to -10°C range. Fortunately, the cool-down will be short-lived with highs back near the freezing mark returning on Friday and persisting through the weekend.

A longer stretch of mild temperatures near the freezing mark should persist through the middle of next week with variable cloudiness and no notable rain or snow events. Time to enjoy a pleasant stretch of weather heading into the end of November!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -3°C while the seasonal overnight low is -10°C.

NAM 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday November 16, 2019

Mild Temperatures and Cloudy Skies Arrive For The Weekend

After a seasonably cool Friday, milder temperatures and cloud cover will move into southern Manitoba for the weekend.

Another Arctic high moving through the province will bring cooler temperatures back to Winnipeg today. Temperatures will climb to a high near -5°C today with light winds gradually increasing out of the southeast to around 30 km/h by the evening. The city will see a mix of sun and cloud today, but a warm front moving into the region will spread overcast skies into the region this evening. The southerly winds will continue tonight with temperatures rising to around -2°C by Saturday morning.

Skies will stay mostly cloudy right through the weekend as a series of low pressure systems works their way across the Prairies. Saturday will bring seasonably mild conditions to the Red River Valley with a high near +2°C in Winnipeg. Winds will taper off on Saturday afternoon, then pick up out of the northwest to around 30 km/h overnight as a weak cold front pushes through. There will be a chance for a few flurries as the front moves through, but no more than a centimetre or two should accumulate. Temperatures will dip to a low near -6°C on Saturday night.

Winds will ease on Sunday with mostly cloudy skies and a slightly cooler [seasonal] high near -2°C. Skies will stay cloudy on Sunday night as another low pushes across the northern Prairies; mild temperatures will persist with a low near -4°C in Winnipeg.

Long Range Outlook

Winnipeg could see a bit of rain or snow on Monday with temperatures likely climbing back above 0°C again. It looks like a cloudy first half of the week is in store for Winnipeg as mild temperatures near freezing sticking around until the later half of the week. Some snow looks possible mid-week as a cold front swings through on Wednesday.

The sun should reappear in the second half of the week as Winnipeg moves into a stretch of near-seasonal temperatures.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -2°C while the seasonal overnight low is -9°C.

Temperatures Continue Trend Towards Seasonal

Temperatures in Winnipeg will go on a bit of a roller coaster until a more sustained period of seasonal temperatures arrives this weekend.

Winnipeg’s wobbly trend towards seasonal temperatures continues today as temperatures climb to a high near 6°C. The winds will be breezy later this morning out of the northwest at 20 to 30 km/h, but not as bad as yesterday’s southerlies. The city should see mixed skies today. A weak ridge moving into southern Manitoba tonight will ease the winds, clear the skies, and send temperatures to a low near -15°C.

A push of seasonal temperatures will spread into the Red River Valley on Thursday. The region will see southwest winds near 20 km/h in the morning shift northwesterly in the afternoon as a cold front drops through the region. As it often is with warm air, the city will see some cloudy periods as it moves in. Temperatures will be finally reach seasonal values with a high near -1°C. Another high will move through on Thursday night, clearing the skies, easing the winds, and sending temperatures to a low near -14°C.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday November 14, 2019
Temperatures will climb back to seasonal values across southern Manitoba on Thursday.

Friday will bring cooler temperatures back into the region with highs dropping down to around -8°C. The cool-down will be short-lived, though. Southeast winds of 20 to 30 km/h will develop through the day as warmer air already begins approaching through Saskatchewan. Some sun is possible early in the day, but Winnipeg will likely see mostly cloudy skies through much of the day. Those southerly winds will continue through Friday night with temperatures rising to around -3°C by Saturday morning.

Long Range Outlook

A longer stretch of seasonal to slightly above seasonal temperatures will arrive this weekend. Daytime highs will likely hover at or just above freezing right through into the start of next week.

ECMWF Total Accumulated QPF valid 12Z Tuesday November 12 to 00Z Tuesday November 19, 2019
The Red River Valley will remain fairly dry over the coming week as the storm track shifts into the northern Prairies.

The storm track also looks like it will remain to the north of us, keeping any significant precipitation events out of the region.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -1°C while the seasonal overnight low is -9°C.

Seasonably Cold Temperatures Continue

Winnipeg will continue to see seasonably cold temperatures through the first half of the work week.

A persistent north-northwest flow aloft will sustain the cold weather in the region through the upcoming work week. To start the week, an Arctic ridge will move into the province. This will keep temperatures cool in Winnipeg with a high of just -11°C. Skies should stay mainly sunny today with westerly winds near 20 km/h. Temperatures will head to a low near -18°C tonight with clear skies and light winds.

Temperatures will remain cold in southern Manitoba today with daytime highs in the -10 to -15°C. Average overnight lows for the region at this time of year are around -10°C.
Temperatures will remain cold in southern Manitoba today with daytime highs in the -10 to -15°C. Average overnight lows for the region at this time of year are around -10°C.

Temperatures will warm slightly on Tuesday as the Arctic ridge moves off to the east, but it may end up feeling colder. A moderate southerly wind will develop, increasing to 40 gusting 60 km/h by midday. Skies will become increasingly cloudy later in the day as warmer air grazes the region. Temperatures will climb to a high near -7°C, then fall to a low near -12°C with mostly cloudy skies on Tuesday night. The winds will ease in the evening followed by a chance of flurries overnight.

Wednesday will bring mixed skies to the region as a cooler northwesterly flow develops again. Temperatures will climb to a high near -5°C with northwest winds around 20 km/h. A weak ridge moving through on Wednesday night will bring mainly clear skies and light winds as temperatures drop to a low near -11°C.

Long Range Outlook

A warm-up will begin in the second half of the week as the stagnant upper air pattern begins to break down. Thursday may bring highs back towards the freezing mark, followed by cooler temperatures again on Friday.

Heading into the weekend, a major shift may be in the cards back towards milder temperatures. Highs back near or just above 0°C look likely this weekend and into the first half of next week. That warmth will likely come with more cloud and a chance of a wintery mix of precipitation at some point early next week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -1°C while the seasonal overnight low is -9°C.