Quiet and Mild Weather Ahead for the Weekend

The weather will quiet down across southern Manitoba this weekend with mild temperatures and mostly cloudy conditions.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday December 31, 2022
It will be a mild end to 2022 with daytime highs climbing into the -5 to -10 °C across southern Manitoba on Saturday.

A slack westerly flow aloft will be the main guide for the weather over the next few days. This upper-level pattern will keep the Arctic air at bay up north and allow daytime highs to reach relatively mild values in the -5 to -10 °C range. A weak ridge of high pressure moving through the area today will bring some sun to the region, but cloudier skies will return for the weekend.

There won’t be any notable snowfalls in the coming days, but a few flakes can’t be ruled out when the cloud rolls in for the weekend.

Overnight lows will tend to sit in the -10 to -15 °C range, but will drop closer to -20 °C if, or when, any clear patches are able to form.

Long Range Outlook

It will largely be much of the same next week, though some cooler near-seasonal temperatures may arrive mid-week with a trend towards sunnier conditions. It looks like more warmth and cloudy skies will return for next weekend. No significant snowfall is in the forecast.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -13 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -23 °C.

Snowy Mid-Week Warm-Up Ahead

A couple of disturbances moving across the Prairies will bring snow and seasonably mild weather to Winnipeg this week.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Wednesday December 28, 2022
Milder weather will spread through southern Manitoba on Wednesday with daytime highs just a few degrees below freezing.

The first of two systems that will bring warmer temperatures has pushed into the Red River Valley overnight. Temperatures have warmed up towards -10 °C through the night as light snow moved across much of southern Manitoba. Any lingering snow will taper off early this morning as temperatures climb up to a high near -7 °C. The only accumulating snow left in the area today will stay well to the north through the Interlake eastwards to the Ontario border where another 2–5 cm is likely.

Just as quickly as this system leaves, another will begin pushing in from the west. Cloudy skies will continue into the night, followed by more snow as the next low pushes across Saskatchewan. Snow will push across the Red River Vallye after midnight as temperatures will rise to around -5 °C by Wednesday morning.

The snow will again taper off early in the day as it pushes off to the northeast. Snowfall totals across the region will vary with only around 2 cm over the southern Red River Valley and 5–10 cm over western Manitoba southwards to the Trans-Canada Highway corridor. The City of Winnipeg will likely get 4–8 cm of snow with this system. Temperatures will climb to a few degrees below freezing on Wednesday afternoon, then dip slightly on Wednesday night back towards -5 or -6 °C.

Cloudy skies will continue into Thursday, but light northwest winds will start to drag cooler temperatures back into the region. Temperatures will fall through the day towards -10 °C with a chance of some flurries. Temperatures will dip into the mid-minus teens by Friday morning with some clear breaks developing overnight.

Long Range Outlook

The region will see near-seasonal temperatures through the weekend with variable cloudiness. No notable weather system swill be moving though, so all in all it will be a relatively pleasant New Year’s Eve and start to the new year. Daytime highs will hover in the -10 to -15 °C range with overnight lows also in the minus teens.

Long-range weather models are showing the potential for some light snow to start off next week along with another wave of milder temperatures.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -12 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -22 °C.

Winter Cold Continues Through the Weekend

Below-normal temperatures will stick around through the Christmas weekend, but a warm-up is on the horizon.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 12Z Sunday December 25, 2022
It will be a cold start to Christmas Day in southern Manitoba with temperatures near -30 °C, but warmer air will already be pushing towards the region in Saskatchewan.

While temperatures in Manitoba haven’t quite compared to the extreme cold anchored over Alberta and impacting much of western Canada, the region continues to see seasonably cold conditions. Fortunately for our region, it won’t get too much worse than seen so .

The detached lobe of the Polar Vortex that has brought such bitter cold to the western Prairies is now spinning its way into eastern Canada and is set to bring a significant winter storm to the region. As it departs, temperatures will cool slightly here in Manitoba, followed by a gradual warming trend.

Daytime highs will hover around the -20 °C mark for the next few days in Winnipeg with increasing sunshine later today into Saturday. Lows will generally sit in the -25 to -30 °C range, but there’s a chance of a sub-minus 30 reading.

Wind chill will be a bit of an issue the next couple days with moderate northwest winds of 30 to 40 km/h. Wind chill values will hover in the -30 to -40 range much of the next couple days.

Those winds will also bring some blowing snow to the region. Today will be the worst for it, with blowing snow possible in most of the open areas in the Red River Valley. Lighter winds into Saturday will make it a more localized issue then.

On Sunday, some cloud will push into the region as a disturbance dives through the region. Snow will push through western portions of the province, likely staying west of the Red River Valley as it struggles against the colder air. Temperatures will climb into the mid-minus teens with light winds, making for a relatively pleasant Christmas Day afternoon across southern Manitoba. Temperatures will dip into the -20 to -25 °C range on Sunday night.

Long Range Outlook

The Arctic air will lose its grip on the region as next week progresses with daytime highs climbing close to -5 °C by mid-week. 

Some light snow will accompany the warm-up; on Tuesday night, a band of 5 to 10 cm is likely across WestMan and the Interlake with lesser amounts near 2–4 cm in Winnipeg. If this system ends up a bit further south, the main band of snow could end up falling along the Trans-Canada Highway corridor.

The milder weather will last for the rest of the week, then slid back towards seasonal values to start off the new year. Happy holidays!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -12 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -22 °C.

Colder Weather Settles Over Southern Manitoba

An Arctic high building into the Prairies will bring seasonably cold temperatures and a bit more sunshine to southern Manitoba.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 12Z Tuesday December 20, 2022
Cold temperatures will sit entrenched across the Prairies this week.

Colder temperatures are the story this week as a lobe of the polar vortex slumps into the northern Prairies. It will bring with it a persistent northerly flow that will build an Arctic ridge across the Prairies through the week.

Disturbances grazing by the region will bring a mix of sun and cloud to the region this week, but temperatures will be uniformly cold. Daytime highs in Winnipeg will sit near the -20 °C mark through the rest of the week with overnight lows generally in the -25 to -30 °C range.  

With such cold overnight lows, its possible that the region will see extreme cold warnings at times this week for wind chill values dipping to the -40 mark.

No significant snow will fall across the region this week, but a weak disturbance passing by to the south will spread some snow across the region on Wednesday. Accumulations will be minimal with just a centimetre or two possible by the time it tapers off overnight.

Long Range Outlook

Cold conditions will continue into the Christmas weekend, but by Sunday the worst should begin to break. Heading into next week, warmer weather will move into the region along with some more light snow. 

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -11 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -21 °C.