Seasonal Weather Ahead, Rain Possible At Week’s End

Benign weather will continue over the Red River Valley for the next few days as a weak ridge of high pressure remains entrenched over the region until Friday. Heading into the weekend, however, it looks like rain may be possible as a low pressure system moves into the region through the day.

There isn’t a whole lot to say regarding the coming days, so I’ll keep this post fairly brief! The weather for today and tomorrow will be largely dictated by a weak ridge of high pressure over the region that’s more a result of larger low pressure systems to our west and east than being particularly potent in and of itself.

Today will see temperatures climb to around 23°C with breezy winds building out of the north to 30–40km/h thanks to a low pressure system passing to our east. The day will start overcast with some mid- to high-level cloud that will gradually clear out through the day. Winds will taper off this evening as low temperatures head to around 9°C.

Thursday will be mainly sunny day with light winds and a high near 25°C. Expect a low near 13°C on Thursday night.

GDPS 12hr. QPF valid through Friday Night
The GDPS is showing a low pressure system moving through Southern Manitboa on Friday night capable of bringing some rain to the Red River Valley.

Friday will see increasing cloudiness, particularly in the afternoon as a low pressure system begins working into the region. Temperatures will climb to around 25°C. Friday night will likely bring some rain, although specifics are still quite fuzzy. Temperatures will dip back down to around 13°C again.

Mixed Weekend

This weekend looks mixed at this point, with slightly cooler, cloudier weather on Saturday with a chance of showers and sunnier conditions on Sunday. There’s quite a bit of uncertainty with Friday night/Saturday’s low pressure system, so it’s a bit early to make much in the way of concrete forecasts. High temperatures will likely be in the low 20’s with a chance of warmer weather returning for the beginning of next week.

A Much Cooler Start to the Week

After last week’s high heat and humidity, the much cooler conditions this week will come as a relief to many. However, it might be a little bit too cool, with temperatures only hovering around 20C.

Today will be cool, but fairly pleasant. Temperatures will be near the 20C mark in southern Manitoba under a mixture of sun and cloud. Winds will be light as a surface ridge of high pressure will be in place over southern Manitoba. Portions of western Manitoba may have a slight chance of a shower, but otherwise no precipitation is expected.

Forecast 500mb Winds with Jetstream Annotation from the RDPS
A deep trough over the Central Prairies will deflect the jet stream well to our south, bringing unseasonably cool weather to most of the Prairies.

Tuesday will see little change in conditions from Monday. High temperatures will remain near 20C, with mainly sunny skies. Winds will be from the north-east at 20km/h.

Wednesday will once again be seasonably cool with temperatures in the low twenties. Skies are expected to be a mixture of sun and cloud with breezy winds out of the north.

Long Range

The long range forecast shows generally seasonable to below seasonable temperatures in southern Manitoba over the next week. However, we may see more surges of warm air as move move toward the end of the month.

Below Normal Weather to Start the Week

This week will start out on the cool side with high temperatures in the low twenties.

Monday

Today will be mainly sunny with temperatures in the low twenties. The average high temperature for early August is 26°C, so this will represent cooler than normal weather. The wind will be north-west at 30km/h.

Tuesday

Tuesday will see much the same weather as Monday, with temperatures in the low twenties. Skies should once again be mainly sunny and winds will be light.

Wednesday

Wednesday may feature showers in southern Manitoba as a low pressure system passes through the region. Accumulations look to be fairly small at this point, so it will not be a significant event. Besides the rain, temperatures will remain below seasonal with highs in the low twenties. Winds will be breezy from the south.

Warm & Quiet Weather Ahead

After a busy couple weeks across Southern Manitoba, a stretch of mild, fairly quiet weather is ahead thanks to weak upper-level ridging over the eastern Prairies.

Today and tomorrow will both be pleasant days with a few afternoon clouds and highs in 26 or 27°C range. Winds will be a bit breezy out of the west today, but much calmer conditions will be seen on Saturday over the Red River Valley. Expect an overnight low near 10°C tonight and in the mid-teens on Saturday night.

The only chance for precipitation will come late overnight Saturday or Sunday morning as a trough rotates through the Interlake into the Red River Valley. It doesn’t seem like the showers will be too intense or organized, so at this point it seems like there’s just a slight chance of them. Otherwise, Sunday will be a fairly pleasant day with a high in the mid-20’s and winds picking up out of the northwest through the day to around 30km/h.

RDPS Forecast Temperature for 00Z Sunday August 02, 2015
The RDPS is forecasting temperatures in the mid-to-upper 20’s over Southern Manitoba for Saturday afternoon.

Early next week looks to start off a little bit cool with highs only in the low-to-mid 20’s. At this point, it looks like the next chance for any organized precipitation will hold off until the middle of next week!