Sunshine and Summer Heat

A few beautiful days are on the way for Winnipeg as seasonably warm temperatures return.

An upper low continues to spin over northern Manitoba and support a dry westerly flow over the southern Prairies. As a result, the next few days will look fairly similar as this system slowly spins its way northeastwards.

Today and tomorrow will both see highs near 26°C and lows near 15°C. Winds will be breezy today out of the west at 30 gusting 50 km/h and then ease a bit for Thursday at 20 gusting 40 km/h. Both days will see mainly sunny skies. There will be a slight chance of a late day shower today.

NAM 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Friday July 17, 2020
Hot summer temperatures return on Friday when highs climb back to around 30°C.

On Friday, winds will shift to the south ahead of an approaching low. With winds up to 40 km/h, temperatures will climb to a high near 30°C. Humid conditions will redevelop over the Red River Valley as dew points climb back to around 20°C. In the evening, a trough of low pressure will move through the region, bringing showers and thunderstorms with it. With over 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 30+ knots of bulk shear, there is a chance that some of these thunderstorms will be severe. Skies will clear out overnight with winds easing and shifting to the west.

Long Range Outlook

Sunny conditions will stick around for the weekend with highs in the mid-20s. No precipitation is in the forecast for Winnipeg. On Monday, unsettled conditions may redevelop over the region.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.

Stormy Monday Followed By Breezy Summer Conditions

Disturbances moving through today will bring cloud and thunderstorms to start Winnipeg’s week but sunnier, warmer weather will quickly return.

A few disturbances moving through Winnipeg today will bring unsettled conditions to the city. Beginning first thing this morning, a few showers or thunderstorms will be possible as the remnants of overnight convection drift over the area. That will clear out, but then a trough moving through midday will bring a more organized thunderstorm threat. Those thunderstorms will push off to the east in the afternoon, but a cold front then follows into the region will bring yet another chance of showers or thunderstorms through the evening hours. The main threat for severe weather will occur with the trough moving through midday; a few more details are in ECCC’s thunderstorm outlook in our Bulletin Viewer.

HRRR Simulated RADAR Reflectivity valid 20Z Monday July 13, 2020
A line of showers and thunderstorms will move across southern Manitoba early Monday afternoon. Some of these thunderstorms may be severe.

Temperatures will climb to a high around 24°C. Morning southeast winds becoming generally southerly near 20 km/h then easing in the evening. Behind the cold front overnight, winds will pick up out of the west-southwest to around 30 km/h. Temperatures will dip to a low near 13°C.

More sun will return to Winnipeg on Tuesday and Wednesday as a drier westerly flow spreads across the region. A potent summer low over northern Manitoba will produce moderately windy conditions across the southern Prairies. Winnipeg should see west-southwest winds near 30 gusting 50 km/h both days. Windier conditions with winds of 40 gusting 60 km/h over southwestern Manitoba. On Wednesday, an upper trough will bring a chance of afternoon showers to much of the Red River Valley.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 18Z Tuesday July 14, 2020
A strong summer low over northern Manitoba will bring seasonably cool, windy conditions to the southern Prairies on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Daytime highs will hover around 25°C both days and overnight lows will climb back into the mid-teens.

Long Range Outlook

A building upper ridge over the western Prairies will bring hotter weather back to the region by the end of the weekend with highs rising to around 30°C and a return of muggier conditions. The region will see some instability and chance of thunderstorms on Friday into Saturday. More settled conditions return for the end of the weekend and next week with near-seasonal temperatures and comfortable humidity levels.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.

A Mixed Bag of Summer Weather Ahead

An upper low moving through the province will bring occasionally unsettled weather over the next couple days.

Today will start off with the leading feature of this upper low moving through the province. For the early morning hours, a band of showers and thunderstorms will move through the Red River Valley. Cloudy skies and muggy weather will persist until midday when a cold front moves through. There will be a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm as the cold front moves through, then clearing will push in from the west. Temperatures will climb to a high near 26°C in the afternoon sun with breezy west-southwest winds near 30 km/h. Skies will stay mainly clear tonight with light southwest winds and a low near 16°C.

RDPS 2m Dew Point Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Wednesday July 8, 2020
Muggy conditions will briefly return to the Red River Valley this morning.

The upper low itself will move through the region on Thursday. A mainly sunny start to the day will see skies become mixed as temperatures warm. The city will see a high near 24°C in the afternoon with westerly winds of 30 gusting 50 km/h. There will be a slight chance in the afternoon for some scattered showers or thunderstorms. Everything will settle down in the evening, leaving the city with many clear skies as temperatures head to a low near 14°C.

GDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 18Z Friday July 10, 2020
The week will end with temperatures returning to seasonal summer values in Winnipeg.

An upper ridge and associated surface high will begin working into the province on Friday. It will bring mainly sunny skies to the region and light winds. Temperatures will return to a near-seasonal high of 27°C. The city will see variable cloudiness on Friday night with a low near 15°C.

Long Range Outlook

Early indications are that the region will see a beautiful summer weekend with sunshine, highs in the upper 20s, comfortable humidity, and light winds. A weaker disturbance will be moving through Manitoba on Saturday, but at this point it looks like it won’t affect the Red River Valley. We’ll keep an eye on it and have more details on Friday!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.

Sunny Skies Ahead as Heat Wave Builds In

Winnipeg will see plenty of sunshine (and wind) through the weekend as an extended period of hot weather builds into the region.

The main driving force for the weather over the coming days will be a digging west coast trough. As it deepens over the Rockies, an upper ridge will build in response downstream over Manitoba and Ontario. As a result, a deep southerly flow will develop, pumping hot air northwards out of the United States.

Today will make the beginning of the event as an upper low slumps southwards through British Columbia. Here in Manitoba, we’ll see sunny skies in the wake of the system that brought showers and thunderstorms to the region last night. Highs will climb into the upper 20s with a northwest wind of 20 to 30 km/h.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Saturday June 27, 2020
Hot summer temperatures will build into the region this weekend, marking the start of an extended period of seasonably hot conditions.

The more notable heat will build in for the weekend. As the upper ridge continues to build, a deep southerly flow will send high temperatures to the low 30s for the weekend. Winds of 30 to 40 km/h will develop during the days, easing into the 20 to 30 km/h range at night. Those breezy overnight winds will keep overnight lows warm near 20°C.

Winnipeg and the Red River Valley will see plenty of sunshine over the next several days.

Long Range Outlook

The heat will persist right through much of next week with highs in the upper 20s or low 30s. Compounding it, though, will be the arrival of more significant humidity on Monday. Dew points will climb close to 20°C, which will not only make the heat feel worse, but also keep overnight lows hot despite weakening winds.

Unsettled conditions may Arrive for Tuesday through Thursday with the chance for widespread shower or thunderstorm activity in the Red River Valley. The heat looks to moderate ever so slightly for next weekend.

Stay safe and be sure you know about the health risks and danger signs of heat: summer is here!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 25°C while the seasonal overnight low is 12°C.