Mild Week Ahead for Winnipeg

A westerly flow aloft will bring seasonably mild temperatures to Winnipeg this week.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Thursday November 24, 2022
Mild temperatures will move into southern Manitoba this week with daytime highs climbing to near or above freezing.

The Red River Valley will get a late-November treat of mild temperatures this week as daytime highs climb back above freezing. A series of low pressure systems tracking along the northern borders of the Prairie provinces will help shunt the Polar Vortex back into the High Arctic. As it retreats, that will allow for a sustained flow of milder Pacific air to spill across the Rockies and into the Prairies.

As a result, the region will see more sun than has been around in a while with mild temperatures. Daytime highs will sit around the freezing mark or just a bit warmer with lows warming from the -5 to -10 °C range mid-week to close to freezing by the end of the week.

There won’t be much chance of snow this week; the only notable possibility looks to be on Wednesday night as a weak cold front moves through. It may bring a brief band of snow through the region with it, but accumulations look like they’d be low.

Long Range Outlook

The stretch of warmer weather will come to an end this weekend as a series of weak disturbances begin to move through, bringing cloud and light snow. Each successive impulse will gradually bring temperatures back to near-seasonal values to start next week and into seasonably cool conditions later next week.

With the cooling trend will come more cloud cover and plenty of chances for light snow.

So for now, enjoy the beautiful late-November week ahead!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is -4 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -13 °C.

Mild November Weather Continues, Cooler Later This Week

Winnipeg will continue to see very mild November temperatures into mid-week, then a cold front will sweep through and bring seasonal temperatures back to the region.

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Wednesday November 2, 2022
A low pressure system will push very mild temperatures into southern Manitoba on Wednesday afternoon.

The warm weather will continue for Winnipeg as a southerly flow continues to draw mild air into the region. The skies will be partly cloudy in Winnipeg with a high in the mid-teens. As the day progresses, an upper trough will dig southwards over the Rocky Mountains. This will push more warm air northwards over Manitoba and keep overnight lows very warm (for November). Winnipeg will only dip down to around 10 °C tonight, a whole 15 °C above normal for this time of the year!

Skies should stay partly cloudy into Wednesday, but its shaping up to be a gorgeous November day. It will be a bit windy as a low pressure system developing building into SW Manitoba brings southerly winds up to 30 to 40 km/h. The upside will be the warmth, with highs climbing into the upper teens and topping out at 18 or 19 °C here in the city.

The low will pass on Wednesday night, but the cold front will stay to the west a little bit longer. While the low will bring cloud to the area, the precipitation associated this system will stay well to the west and north. Winds will shift to the west overnight with a low down into the mid-single digits.

The cold front will swing through early Thursday, shifting winds to the northwest and keeping skies cloudy for the day. Winnipeg will see temperatures recover only a few degrees with just a slight chance of a scattered shower or two. Everything should clear out on Thursday night with temperatures dropping to a near-seasonal low of -4 °C.

Long Range Outlook

Friday will bring some sunshine and near-seasonal temperatures to the region, followed by slightly warmer weather on Saturday. Things will shift beginning Sunday, though, with most weather models showing a transition to cooler weather with the first real chance of accumulating snow beginning next Monday.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is +4 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -5 °C.

Warm Weekend Ahead; Halloween Looks Great

There are no complaints here about the upcoming weather in Winnipeg: plenty of sunshine and mild temperatures!

RDPS 2m Temperature Forecast valid 21Z Monday October 31, 2022
It continues to look like Winnipeg will see a beautiful Halloween this year with highs in the mid-teens dropping to around 10 °C in the evening.

A series of strong low pressure systems moving through the Canadian Arctic will sustain a westerly flow aloft over the Prairies this week. That will keep western Canada under the influence of milder Pacific air and keep the colder Arctic air locked up in the north.

As a result, Winnipeg will see nothing but seasonably mild conditions ahead with daytime highs in the 10 to 15 °C range and overnight lows hovering near or just above freezing. Skies will be fairly sunny as dry conditions persist across the region, but some cloud cover is possible on tonight into Saturday morning before clearing out. Winds will be a bit breezy out o the southwest today, then calmer conditions will move in for Saturday and Sunday.

Long Range Outlook

The warm weather will stick around into the start of next week, but it will get a bit windier out of the west. For Halloween evening, it still looks like it will be close to 10 °C around trick or treat time and cool off gradually through the evening.

By mid-week, the weather pattern will begin to shift, bringing in cloudier conditions and a return towards seasonal temperatures. Long-range forecasts show the next notable chance for precipitation arriving at the end of next week. What it falls at is anyone’s guess right now, but signs point towards a bit of a wintery mix that could end with a bit of snow finally sticking. Hopefully not, though, and we can keep the snow away for as long as possible!

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 7 °C while the seasonal overnight low is -3 °C.

Hot Summer Weather Ahead

The heat will slowly build over Southern Manitoba in the coming days as the region heads towards a very hot weekend.

GDPS 500 mb Height Forecast (with Anomaly) valid 12Z Wednesday July 13, 2022
The forecast 500 mb heights with the climatological anomaly overlaid shows a strong upper ridge building across Manitoba on Tuesday.

This week will see an upper ridge building into and strengthening over the Prairies. As it does, conditions will stabilize as temperatures slowly climb.

Southern Manitoba will see a sunny start to the day give way to mixed skies. Temperatures will climb into the upper 20s across the region with a bit of a northerly breeze. Some lingering instability will result in a few scattered showers that will move through the Red River Valley in the afternoon with the risk of a thundershower. Skies will clear in the evening as temperatures head to a low in the mid-teens.

Wednesday will be a beautiful day across the region with sunshine, light winds out of the south and a high in the upper 20s. Temperatures will fall to a low in the upper teens on Wednesday night.

On Thursday, an upper disturbance lifting northeastwards across the Prairies will bring some cloud to the region along with increasing heat and humidity. Temperatures should climb to the 30 °C mark with breezy southerly winds developing. The humidity will gradually climb through the day, likely beginning to feel a bit muggy by the end of the day. Showers and thunderstorms are likely across the region in the evening, and with the heat and humidity present there could be a risk of severe weather.

Long Range Outlook

The upper ridge will rebound and strengthen heading into the weekend, bringing increasing sun and even warmer weather. Daytime highs will climb into the low to mid-30s for the weekend under sunny skies. The humidity will likely be moderate to high which will help keep overnight lows mild near 20 °C.

The heat will continue into Monday before the upper ridge begins to break down, bringing slightly cooler weather and the chance of rain back to the region.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 13 °C.