An Oasis on the Horizon?

After weeks of dry weather, some rain is finally on the way. However, for those desperately wanting rain, the water works may only come after the rain has ended.

A Low Pressure System will Spread Rain Over the Northern Plains on Monday

Monday

Monday

Mainly cloudy. Chance of showers.
23°C / 14°C

Today will see rain over some parts of Southern Manitoba as a powerful upper low approaches the region. This system will tap significant moisture over the Northern Plains, generating an area of moderate to heavy rainfall over the Dakotas. The core of this rain will slide mainly south through North Dakota and Minnesota, however the northern fringe of it may clip areas along the International Border up into south-eastern Manitoba. In these border regions rainfall amounts will be very hard to predict in advance, but a reasonable estimate would be for 5 to 15mm for the entire day. Actual amounts could be slightly higher or lower than this depending on the track of the system. In the rest of Southern Manitoba, little to no rain is expected. There will be a constant threat of showers today and tonight, but most areas including Winnipeg, should see very little if any rain. Other than the rain it will be a cloudy, but mild day, with light winds.

Tuesday and Wednesday

Tuesday

Mix of Sun and Cloud. Chance of Showers or Thundershowers.
27°C / 10°C
Wednesday

Mainly Sunny
21°C / 6°C

Tuesday should be a fairly nice day in Southern Manitoba. Skies will be a mixture of sun and cloud with temperatures in the mid to upper twenties. Late in the day a cold front will come through, likely triggering some showers and thunderstorms. These storms are not expected to be severe.

Not surprisingly, Wednesday will be a cooler day as colder air moves in behind that cold front. High temperatures will be in the low twenties with gusty north-westerly winds. Some fair weather cumulus clouds may develop during the day, but otherwise it will be mainly sunny.

Long Range

The long range outlook is a bit ambiguous at this point. It appears that we’ll probably see conditions begin to warm up around the weekend, only to be knocked back down by another cold front later on the weekend or into next week. This sort of up and down pattern makes forecasting fairly tough, so rather than making any sort of grand prediction I’ll just suggest that we’re in for a variable pattern with some warm weather interspersed with cooler periods.

Brad

Brad lives in Winnipeg with his wife and two children and is the founder of A Weather Moment. He has loved weather from a very young age and has followed that passion through his life so far. He received a B.Sc. in Earth Sciences with Specialization in Atmospheric Sciences and is currently employed in the field of meteorology. You can find the author as @WeatherInThePeg on Twitter.