Tag: Humid

Turning Unsettled As Warm, Humid Weather Arrives

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A warm and increasingly humid air mass will move into Winnipeg this week, bringing chances for showers or thunderstorms to the region.

An upper-level disturbance moving through southern Manitoba will bring cloudy periods to Winnipeg today. There will be a chance of showers, but most of the rain will pass to the north of Winnipeg. The best chance for any rain will be in the morning and midday hours. Temperatures will warm up in the afternoon with some sunshine poking through the clouds to a high near 26 °C. Skies will clear out tonight with a low near 15 °C.

Tuesday will start the move towards a warmer and more humid air mass. A sharp upper-level trough will dig over the western seaboard with an upper ridge over the eastern Prairies developing in response. Skies will stay mainly sunny as a warm front begins lifting towards Canada through the Northern Plains. Winnipeg will see light northeasterly flow ahead of the warm front through the day as temperatures head to a high near 30 °C.

RDPS 12-hr Accumulated Precipitation Forecast valid 12Z Wednesday June 9, 2021
Showers and thunderstorms will develop in the United States on Tuesday night and spread across southern Manitoba by Wednesday morning.

On Tuesday night, a low pressure system lifting out of Montana will support a strengthening flow overrunning the warm front. The combination of lift and destabilization will produce thunderstorms over the northern Plains that will push across southeastern Saskatchewan and southern Manitoba into Wednesday. There will be enough instability and organization in the environment for the risk of severe thunderstorms. The primary threats overnight would be hail and wind. There is also a chance that the thunderstorms may organize into a squall line. If they did so, it could bring damaging winds to portions of southeastern Saskatchewan and/or southern Manitoba overnight.

Temperatures will head to a low near 18 °C on Tuesday night.

RDPS 2m Dew Point Forecast valid 21Z Wednesday June 9, 2021
Humid conditions will spread across southern Manitoba on Wednesday.

On Wednesday, the warm front will lift northwards into southern Manitoba. This will combine with an upper level disturbance moving into the region to support scattered showers and/or thunderstorms. The cloud cover will keep temperatures cooler than Tuesday, but it will become substantially more humid. Although the high will be around 26 °C, dew points will climb into the 18–20 °C range and make it feel closer to the low 30s. The unsettled weather will push off to the northeast for Wednesday night with a low near 17 °C.

Long Range Outlook

The warm and humid weather will stick around for the rest of the work week with highs in the mid-20s and dew points hovering in the upper teens. The sun should return for Thursday afternoon, then another passing low will bring a chance showers and thunderstorms to the region on Friday. A cold front will sweep through after that, ushering in drier conditions for the weekend. Temperatures will stay warm into next week with highs in the 25–30 °C range.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 23 °C while the seasonal overnight low is 10 °C.

Sweltering Summer Heat Ahead

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Winnipeg will see sweltering temperatures this weekend with temperatures set to climb above 30°C for several consecutive days.

A building upper ridge will send temperatures in Winnipeg soaring today. Under mainly sunny skies, the city will see a daytime high near 32°C. A weak ridge of high pressure should keep winds light and the humidity at comfortable levels. Light southerly winds will pick up tonight with a warm low near 20°C.

On Saturday, southerly winds near 20 to 30 km/h will bring a muggier air mass into the region. Temperatures will continue to be hot with a high near 33°C. The morning will be sunny, but partly cloudy skies will likely develop in the afternoon as a weak trough moves through. Temperatures will cool to a low near 19°C on Saturday night with mostly clear skies.

A cold front will push through the region early Sunday morning, bringing with it a chance of showers or thunderstorms. A breezy northwest wind up to 30 gusting 50 km/h will develop through the day, ushering in a slightly drier air mass. Behind the front, skies will clear as temperatures climb to a high near 30°C. Winnipeg will see a low near 15°C on Sunday night under mainly clear skies.

Long Range Outlook

Next week will bring a return of more seasonal temperatures with daytime highs in the mid-20s. Winnipeg will see partly cloudy conditions through the first half of the week with no significant storm threats through the first few days of the week.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.

Summer Heat Continues To Build

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Temperatures in Winnipeg will continue heat up as the city enters into a stretch of hot summer weather.

Winnipeg will see partly cloudy skies through the day today as some remnant cloud from overnight thunderstorms in Saskatchewan graze the area on their way by. There will still be plenty of sun, though, and temperatures will climb to a high near 28°C. Breezy southerly winds picking up to 30 gusting 50 km/h will draw a more humid air mass northwards, making this feel a bit muggy this afternoon.

Heading into the evening, the city will see a slight risk of thunderstorms. Unfortunately, the setup is highly conditional. Whether or not thunderstorms will move eastwards out of southwestern Manitoba into the RRV won’t be clear until much later today. For a comprehensive look at why the setup is so tricky, be sure to check out the ECCC Thunderstorm Outlook on our bulletin viewer.1 As the system responsible for the thunderstorm threat pushes east overnight, skies will clear. The wind will ease tonight with temperatures dipping to a low near 18°C.

Thursday will bring mainly sunny skies to the city as a broad ridge of high pressure moves through. The humidity will ease a bit as temperatures head to a high near 30°C. Winds won’t be much of an issue either, light out of the north or northeast. All in all a beautiful summer day! Temperatures will dip to a low near 17°C on Thursday night under partly cloudy skies. There is a small chance of showers or thunderstorms on Thursday night, but if they form they will likely stay well to the south of the city near the U.S. border.

Temperatures will continue to inch warmer on Friday with a high near 31°C. The city will see a bit more cloud through the day thanks to a stalled frontal boundary draped through the region. Winds will once again be light. Skies should gradually clear on Friday night as the warm front slowly pushes off to the northeast. As it does so, however, it may end up producing a few showers or thunderstorms on its way out of the region. Temperatures will dip to a low near 20°C on Friday night.

Long Range Outlook

The weekend looks hot with humid weather returning, highs in the low 30s, and lows near 20°C. The region will see plenty of sun, but once again there’s a small chance of thunderstorms on Saturday night.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.

  1. An updated Day 1 Thunderstorm Outlook should be available at the latest by 7:30 AM. ↩

Hot and (Briefly) Muggy Conditions Return

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Winnipeg will see more heat with building humidity before a cold front passes through on Thursday, bringing a chance of showers or thunderstorms.

An upper ridge over the province will bring another hot day to Winnipeg. The city will see daytime highs near 30°C under mainly sunny skies today. Dew points will gradually rise through the day as southerly winds of 20 to 30 km/h draw humidity northwards. This will produce humidex values approaching the mid-30s this afternoon. The wind will persist out of the south tonight near 20 km/h with increasing cloud. This will result in a warm, muggy night with a low near 21°C.

There’s a lot of diversity in the model forecast solutions for Wednesday night. Some models have no precipitation for Winnipeg, while others sustain an area of thunderstorms from southern Saskatchewan into the region. Either way, if there is going to be any precipitation it likely won’t arrive in Winnipeg until early Thursday morning. The synoptic pattern isn’t particularly favourable for sustaining nocturnal convection, but if the thunderstorms in Saskatchewan can organize early enough, they may be able to last all the way to the Red River Valley. We’ll keep an eye on it, and we’d also recommend checking out Environment & Climate Change Canada’s take on it in their thunderstorm outlook, available in our bulletin viewer.

On Thursday, a cold front will push across the province early in the day. Behind the front, moderate westerly winds of 30 to 40 gusting 50 km/h will clear skies and usher in a drier air mass. Temperatures will still be warm with a high near 29°C, but the drier conditions will make it more comfortable. Winds will continue out of the southwest at 10 to 20 km/h on Thursday night. Temperatures will head to a low near 17°C with increasing cloud.

Friday will bring breezy conditions to southern Manitoba again as a low pressure system passes to the north. Westerly winds will pick back up into the 20 to 30 km/h range in the Red River Valley with mixed to cloudy skies. There will be a chance of showers with this system as well as moisture wraps around the low. Potential rainfall amounts amounts don’t look particularly significant; just light accumulations of a couple mm look possible. Temperatures will be cooler with a high near 25 or 26°C.

Skies will clear Friday night with diminishing winds. Winnipeg will see a low near 16°C.

Long Range Outlook

Warm weather will return to the region on Saturday with highs returning to the 30°C mark with mostly sunny skies. Showers or thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday with a low pressure system forecast to move across southern Manitoba.

Today’s seasonal daytime high in Winnipeg is 26°C while the seasonal overnight low is 13°C.